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Red78
418022.4
574815.9
131841.1
Blue66
290316.8
290734.9
498019.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7269204060801001207866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.2
36.937.1
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 6.2
34.90.3
34.434.1
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
22.40.2
21.721.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 2.8
4980
#21
19.60.3
20.019.7
Auto1.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
5748
#17
15.90.2
15.415.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
2903
#16
16.80.3
17.216.9
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0