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Red107
491141.6
49237.5
446114.5
Blue80
307015.8
451220.4
558816.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984105015010780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.2
41.241.5
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 21.1
4512
#11
20.40.5
19.920.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
492
#3
37.50.2
37.237.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 21.0
5588
#17
16.60.5
16.116.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
4461
#26
14.50.2
14.214.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3070
#15
15.80.5
15.415.8
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0