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Red10
418015.9
430412.7
407713.7
Blue96
491141.6
408922.7
255520.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35710501001502001096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#28
15.91.6
20.518.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 25.6
41.61.4
40.842.2
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
4077
#30
13.71.6
11.710.1
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 9.0
4089
#10
22.71.4
14.616.0
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4304
#25
12.72.6
9.46.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
2555
#14
20.51.4
12.614.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0