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Red81
396833.2
307015.8
255724.3
Blue55
468132.1
465414.9
255520.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5945020801001208155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.1
27.228.3
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 1.2
32.10.6
23.824.4
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
2557
#18
24.31.1
20.821.9
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
2555
#14
20.50.6
14.014.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
3070
#15
15.81.1
10.811.9
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
4654
#27
14.90.6
11.412.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0