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Red54
407713.7
549515.9
408922.7
Blue16
52954.2
403015.9
48828.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374901001502005416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#10
22.70.7
16.016.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
488
#9
28.11.3
26.625.2
Auto0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
5495
#24
15.90.7
13.814.5
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Level
4030
#29
15.91.3
15.113.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4077
#30
13.70.7
10.110.8
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 9.5
5295
#32
4.21.3
6.95.6
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0