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Red28
403015.9
407713.7
446114.5
Blue52
408922.7
396833.2
94923.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23740501001502002852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4030
#29
15.90.2
13.813.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 17.4
33.20.5
28.327.8
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
4461
#26
14.50.3
7.67.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 8.6
949
#21
23.10.5
23.322.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
4077
#30
13.70.2
10.810.6
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 9.0
4089
#10
22.70.5
16.716.2
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0