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Red54
396833.2
465414.9
366354.9
Blue60
418015.9
177822.1
549515.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894501001505460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.91.0
44.743.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 32.9
1778
#13
22.10.3
22.322.6
Auto0.6
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
33.21.0
29.728.8
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 17.3
4180
#28
15.90.3
18.418.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.91.0
10.99.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5495
#24
15.90.3
13.313.6
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0