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Red36
446114.5
558816.6
255520.5
Blue4
52954.2
407713.7
378616.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44300206080100120364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2555
#14
20.50.4
17.617.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 3.9
3786
#19
16.72.1
16.013.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
5588
#17
16.60.6
14.413.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 2.9
4077
#30
13.71.4
12.711.2
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4461
#26
14.50.6
11.210.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 10.3
5295
#32
4.21.4
4.22.8
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0