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Red44
418015.9
368119.1
94923.1
Blue91
446114.5
255724.3
468132.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5857203040507080901004491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
949
#21
23.10.7
21.220.5
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 8.9
32.11.5
28.029.5
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
3681
#16
19.10.7
18.117.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2557
#18
24.31.5
21.823.3
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4180
#28
15.90.7
18.718.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
4461
#26
14.52.2
10.612.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0