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Red112
131850.2
48828.1
468132.1
Blue17
94923.1
29426.9
407713.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1162905010015020011217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.3
48.448.7
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 27.1
949
#21
23.11.3
20.519.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
32.10.3
29.529.8
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 18.3
4077
#30
13.71.3
13.111.8
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
488
#9
28.10.3
28.228.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 21.2
2942
#31
6.91.8
9.78.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0