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Red60
468132.1
549515.9
430412.7
Blue59
446114.5
94923.1
307015.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801006059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.3
29.830.2
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 8.9
949
#21
23.10.7
19.219.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
5495
#24
15.90.3
11.812.2
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Level
3070
#15
15.80.7
14.114.7
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
4304
#25
12.70.4
11.411.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4461
#26
14.50.8
12.613.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0