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Red55
491141.6
49237.5
446114.5
Blue108
468132.1
396833.2
403015.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937320406012014016055108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.6
41.540.8
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
33.20.5
32.533.0
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
492
#3
37.50.6
37.536.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 5.5
32.10.5
31.331.8
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Third
4461
#26
14.50.6
14.413.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4030
#29
15.90.5
15.115.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0