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Red30
454213.7
323835.2
407714.6
Blue27
189913.9
252233.9
177818.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474102060801001201403027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.5
16.815.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 1.3
33.91.4
18.216.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
4077
#24
14.61.5
17.415.9
Auto0.6
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 3.6
1778
#15
18.21.4
8.26.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4542
#25
13.71.5
13.812.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1899
#30
13.91.4
16.915.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0