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Red61
291015.4
48823.2
403017.3
Blue100
46828.3
252233.9
323835.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454502040608010061100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#6
23.21.2
19.520.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 12.1
35.24.4
18.022.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
4030
#19
17.31.2
11.813.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 16.6
33.94.4
18.322.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Third
2910
#23
15.41.2
15.216.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
4682
#26
8.34.4
10.615.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0