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Red81
323835.2
129419.1
468118.3
Blue57
491524.1
94828.3
357613.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515901001502008157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.22.2
22.424.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 6.9
948
#4
28.30.3
26.526.2
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
1294
#11
19.11.3
21.122.4
Auto1.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 5.1
24.10.3
24.324.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
4681
#13
18.32.2
11.013.2
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.5
3576
#22
13.80.3
9.49.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0