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Red16
326815.1
418010.6
46828.3
Blue12
430915.8
357613.8
290311.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30270204060801001201612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3268
#14
15.11.2
12.110.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4309
#16
15.81.3
8.87.5
Auto1.7
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Second
4180
#32
10.61.2
9.48.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 3.1
3576
#22
13.81.3
9.37.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4682
#26
8.31.2
9.58.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2903
#28
11.51.3
10.08.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0