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Red20
403017.3
382617.9
177818.2
Blue54
549513.5
129419.1
568323.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274602060801001201402054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#15
18.20.4
9.18.7
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 5.3
23.50.8
11.712.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
3826
#17
17.90.4
10.810.4
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1294
#11
19.10.5
20.921.4
Auto1.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
4030
#19
17.30.4
10.910.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 3.8
5495
#21
13.50.8
11.812.6
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0