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Red104
323835.2
378724.2
430915.8
Blue49
568323.5
417310.1
403017.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602105010015010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.24.0
26.230.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 11.8
23.52.8
12.515.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
24.24.0
18.522.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 6.9
4030
#19
17.32.8
10.513.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4309
#16
15.84.0
11.315.3
Auto1.7
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 5.6
4173
#31
10.12.8
4.87.5
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0