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Red26
177818.2
46828.3
408913.6
Blue0
468118.3
189913.9
418010.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27430206080100120140260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#15
18.20.1
13.313.4
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4681
#13
18.31.1
16.215.1
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
4089
#27
13.60.1
10.710.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1899
#30
13.91.1
13.512.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
4682
#26
8.30.1
6.86.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4180
#32
10.61.1
12.311.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0