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Red81
177818.2
568323.5
549513.5
Blue115
49224.2
252233.9
382617.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4577010015020081115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.6
22.423.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 10.4
33.90.7
33.434.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
1778
#15
18.20.6
17.117.7
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 6.0
492
#7
24.20.7
23.724.4
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
5495
#21
13.50.6
12.413.0
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3826
#17
17.90.7
17.418.1
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0