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Red80
255721.5
214718.6
460810.2
Blue94
358614.2
159525.0
378913.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444702060801001201408094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
21.50.6
20.020.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
25.00.8
23.624.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
18.60.6
17.217.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
3586
#11
14.20.8
12.813.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4608
#22
10.20.6
8.89.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
3789
#23
13.30.8
11.912.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0