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Red63
255721.5
214718.6
460810.2
Blue92
358614.2
159525.0
378913.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848203040607080906392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
21.50.2
21.321.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
25.00.7
24.325.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
18.60.2
18.418.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
3586
#11
14.20.7
13.514.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4608
#22
10.20.2
10.010.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
3789
#23
13.30.7
12.613.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0