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Red52
358614.2
159525.0
378913.3
Blue70
491816.5
369318.0
29449.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060801001205270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.1
22.422.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 6.9
18.00.5
16.717.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
3586
#11
14.20.1
11.611.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4918
#13
16.50.5
15.115.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
3789
#23
13.30.1
10.710.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 3.7
2944
#21
9.50.5
8.28.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0