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Red12
498018.2
292313.6
21482.9
Blue18
511120.9
406118.8
255721.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214904060801001201401218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.1
11.910.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2557
#15
21.51.4
17.516.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
2923
#12
13.61.1
8.87.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 7.3
20.92.4
12.810.5
Auto0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
2148
#26
2.91.1
5.13.9
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 15.9
18.82.4
16.213.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0