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Red47
159525.0
412012.1
292313.6
Blue14
451319.1
41259.3
321912.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253104060801001201404714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.7
13.515.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
19.11.4
8.26.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
2923
#12
13.61.7
7.69.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
3219
#20
12.81.4
12.310.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
4120
#18
12.11.7
5.47.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 2.8
4125
#25
9.31.4
10.79.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0