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Red42
321912.8
322014.8
255511.5
Blue28
44956.9
412012.1
406118.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302304060804228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.6
13.914.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
18.80.2
15.615.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
3219
#20
12.81.0
11.412.3
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
4120
#18
12.10.2
5.25.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
11.51.0
5.16.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 4.6
4495
#24
6.90.2
4.34.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0