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Red83
358614.2
159525.0
378913.3
Blue49
255721.5
214718.6
460810.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454202060801008349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.6
23.023.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 3.5
2557
#15
21.50.1
19.519.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
3586
#11
14.20.6
12.212.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
18.60.1
16.616.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
3789
#23
13.30.6
11.311.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 3.1
4608
#22
10.20.1
8.28.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0