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Red74
491816.5
369318.0
29449.5
Blue41
214916.0
255511.5
321912.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413802060801007441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
17.317.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
2149
#14
16.00.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
4918
#13
16.50.5
15.716.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
3219
#20
12.80.0
12.612.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2944
#21
9.50.5
8.89.3
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
11.50.0
11.211.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0