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Red74
255721.5
214718.6
460810.2
Blue51
214916.0
255511.5
321912.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801001207451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
21.50.5
19.620.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
2149
#14
16.00.2
15.816.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
18.60.5
16.717.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
3219
#20
12.80.2
12.612.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
4608
#22
10.20.5
8.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
11.50.2
11.311.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0