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Red56
491816.5
369318.0
29449.5
Blue48
358614.2
159525.0
378913.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414801001505648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
25.00.0
23.623.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
4918
#13
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
3586
#11
14.20.0
12.812.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
2944
#21
9.50.2
9.39.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3789
#23
13.30.0
11.911.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0