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Red178
206244.7
282654.5
253026.2
Blue90
514829.0
341834.5
220225.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247905010015020025017890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.3
53.354.5
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 20.0
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto2.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
44.71.3
43.444.7
Auto2.8
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 15.7
5148
#10
29.00.0
28.929.0
Auto0.6
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
2530
#36
26.21.3
24.926.2
Auto1.4
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 1.0
2202
#21
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto1.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0