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Red11
480417.3
373417.2
369217.5
Blue46
27921.5
559512.4
55525.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31300102040506070801146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3692
#40
17.51.6
12.811.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 3.9
279
#29
21.51.0
16.617.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
4804
#18
17.31.6
7.66.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
5595
#34
12.42.8
12.49.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
3734
#42
17.21.6
10.28.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 11.8
5552
#59
5.44.1
5.49.6
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.0