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Red74
465541.2
373417.2
327731.9
Blue32
514829.0
319711.2
558611.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423502060801007432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.22.6
14.216.8
Auto0.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
red by 12.3
5148
#10
29.00.4
20.420.1
Auto0.6
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
31.91.9
19.821.7
Auto1.7
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 20.6
5586
#49
11.30.5
8.98.4
Auto1.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
3734
#42
17.22.6
8.611.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 6.0
3197
#51
11.20.5
8.48.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0