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Red50
219420.6
96728.5
480417.3
Blue37
93013.4
310223.8
509613.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375001001502005037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#25
28.51.3
21.422.7
Auto0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
3102
#28
23.80.8
23.022.2
Auto0.8
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
2194
#37
20.61.3
13.114.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 6.7
5096
#31
13.81.0
10.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
4804
#18
17.31.3
6.07.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
930
#54
13.41.0
15.714.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0