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Red68
558611.3
308121.2
247026.1
Blue71
26922.0
206244.7
509613.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325701001502006871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#20
26.13.1
12.515.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 18.6
44.71.3
26.627.9
Auto2.8
Teleop41.9
End0.0
Second
3081
#17
21.23.1
16.219.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
269
#14
22.01.3
18.720.0
Auto1.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
5586
#49
11.33.1
8.411.5
Auto1.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
5096
#31
13.81.3
9.911.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0