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Red75
233845.4
319711.2
8111.5
Blue73
207735.1
327811.9
27921.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701001502002507573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.43.3
25.328.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 10.3
35.12.1
21.023.1
Auto0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
81
#43
11.53.3
8.311.6
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 9.9
279
#29
21.52.1
18.620.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
3197
#51
11.23.3
8.011.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3278
#46
11.92.1
8.410.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0