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Red86
514829.0
252633.8
250620.9
Blue104
402121.0
282654.5
308121.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64370208010012014016086104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#16
33.81.6
32.434.0
Auto0.6
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 20.7
54.55.1
20.525.5
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
5148
#10
29.01.6
18.820.4
Auto0.6
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 7.8
3081
#17
21.25.1
10.415.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
2506
#12
20.92.0
11.113.1
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4021
#32
21.05.1
12.017.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0