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Red89
514829.0
338116.0
341834.5
Blue64
206244.7
253026.2
480417.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149204060801008964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.53.2
18.321.5
Auto2.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 10.1
44.71.5
27.929.4
Auto2.8
Teleop41.9
End0.0
Second
5148
#10
29.01.9
20.122.0
Auto0.6
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 2.8
2530
#36
26.21.5
15.917.3
Auto1.4
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
3381
#41
16.01.9
12.614.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4804
#18
17.31.5
8.810.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0