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Red40
9331.3
16711.1
12597.5
Blue28
53719.9
171426.1
335215.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56542040801004028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#22
31.30.9
30.229.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 5.2
1714
#19
26.11.4
24.523.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
167
#48
11.11.5
18.917.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 8.8
537
#23
19.92.3
22.920.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
1259
#58
7.51.5
8.97.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 8.3
3352
#45
15.92.3
8.76.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.9
End0.0