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Red22
558611.3
178118.0
481810.4
Blue42
219420.6
327811.9
16711.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374501001502002503003502242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#44
18.01.5
18.016.5
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2194
#37
20.60.3
16.716.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
5586
#49
11.31.5
12.511.0
Auto1.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3278
#46
11.90.3
14.013.7
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
4818
#57
10.40.9
9.58.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
167
#48
11.10.3
14.914.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0