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Red131
250620.9
509613.8
465541.2
Blue67
171426.1
369217.5
329819.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595020408010012014013167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.26.0
28.034.0
Auto0.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
red by 15.1
1714
#19
26.10.7
24.425.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
2506
#12
20.96.0
19.525.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
3298
#27
19.00.7
14.715.4
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5096
#31
13.86.0
11.917.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3692
#40
17.51.2
14.015.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0