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Red58
329819.0
558611.3
9331.3
Blue29
96728.5
270912.9
319711.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534202060801001205829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#22
31.30.3
28.829.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 2.8
967
#25
28.51.4
22.821.4
Auto0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
3298
#27
19.00.3
16.316.6
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 6.1
2709
#47
12.91.4
12.711.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5586
#49
11.38.8
17.78.9
Auto1.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
3197
#51
11.21.4
9.88.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0