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Red56
55525.4
359616.8
401124.5
Blue42
558611.3
335215.9
338116.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141404550555642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#24
24.50.7
21.622.3
Auto1.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 8.5
3381
#41
16.00.0
16.516.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
3596
#38
16.81.0
16.517.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 0.9
3352
#45
15.90.1
13.713.6
Auto1.0
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
5552
#59
5.41.0
4.95.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5586
#49
11.30.1
12.612.5
Auto1.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0