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Red37
481810.4
559512.4
282654.5
Blue70
206244.7
270912.9
171426.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607201001502002503770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.52.1
43.141.0
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 9.8
44.70.2
31.331.1
Auto2.8
Teleop41.9
End0.0
Second
5595
#34
12.42.1
11.89.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 13.7
1714
#19
26.10.2
26.025.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
4818
#57
10.41.4
9.68.2
Auto0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2709
#47
12.90.2
15.715.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0