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Red10
167518.5
42476.8
45311.0
Blue38
171426.1
55525.4
327811.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274502060801001201401038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#39
18.51.5
20.819.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
1714
#19
26.10.3
25.825.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
4247
#56
6.81.5
8.36.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3278
#46
11.90.4
12.311.9
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
4531
#60
1.01.1
2.11.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop1.2
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5552
#59
5.40.4
5.95.4
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.0