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Red52
16711.1
402121.0
173231.7
Blue98
369217.5
42969.3
233845.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6464607080905298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#11
31.70.7
31.430.7
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
blue by 13.6
45.42.3
44.046.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
4021
#32
21.01.1
22.121.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
3692
#40
17.52.3
15.217.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
167
#48
11.11.1
13.112.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
4296
#53
9.32.3
7.09.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0