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Red42
359616.8
338116.0
310223.8
Blue47
509613.8
478624.3
27921.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546201001502002503004247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#28
23.80.5
23.222.8
Auto0.8
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4786
#15
24.30.8
25.124.3
Auto0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
3596
#38
16.80.7
17.516.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 4.6
279
#29
21.51.1
22.621.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
3381
#41
16.00.5
16.516.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 2.2
5096
#31
13.81.1
15.013.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0