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Red109
191866.5
571034.4
14143.4
Blue45
357231.6
362041.6
295971.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141138608010012016018020010945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2959
#16
71.60.0
71.671.6
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
141
#27
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Third
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
3572
#31
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0