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Red44
240543.4
550218.1
277134.0
Blue79
387538.4
286736.7
357231.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901050501502002504479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#14
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto1.1
Teleop42.3
End0.0
red by 5.0
3875
#15
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
2771
#23
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 2.7
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
5502
#29
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 13.6
3572
#31
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0