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Red53
516228.3
295971.6
205467.9
Blue49
387538.4
90439.4
277134.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174960501502002503005349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#16
71.60.0
71.671.6
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 32.2
904
#19
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
67.90.0
67.967.9
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 29.5
3875
#15
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
5162
#24
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2771
#23
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0